Author Topic: Where is everybody?  (Read 17205 times)

eyesup

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Where is everybody?
« on: October 14, 2016, 06:01:00 PM »
There has been a question bandied about for decades regarding whether we are alone in the universe and why, if there are others, we haven’t detected or come in contact with them.

A rhetorical question by Enrico Fermi tossed out over a lunch with Emil Konopinski, Edward Teller, and Herbert York during a discussion about the lack of evidence of intelligent life in the universe is the genesis of the debate. With all the known, in the 1940’s, possibilities for life to occur, Fermi was puzzled that no one had come knocking.

Why haven’t we heard from anyone?

I looked at the member list for this site and there are 135 of us. Of those, slightly more than half have made any kind of a post. So, between the British / European group, 9 hrs ahead, and the Americas group, there should be something happening somewhere!

Maybe it’s a seasonal thing, an effect of an Indian Summer that is inducing a lethargy amongst the membership.

Or maybe we are all so busy seizing the day that we haven’t organized any reports to post! Yeah, I prefer that reason.

So as Enrico Fermi famously asked, “Where is everybody?”

Duane

Peter S

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2016, 07:36:55 PM »
Weelll..... in UK we haven't got quite the same wide open opportunities and warm deserts/semi-deserts of you ex-colonists, so the nights are drawing in and the leaves are falling off the trees, so free-ranging is a less attractive prospect at present.

But for the sake of conversation, you'll doubtless remember the London restaurant a few months back which offered naked dining. In the past couple of weeks a night club offered naked clubbing (dancing, not seals). The publicity suggested something a bit more raunchy than one of JBee's hikes, and in no time the club was oversubscribed - so they've had to postpone the event as they didn't have enough clothes lockers!

Not much to go on, but at least it proves some of us are still here

peter
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nenude

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2016, 10:49:37 PM »
I am obviously NEW here, but as I perused the listing for Members, I noticed the same statistics cited by eyesup!  I too wonder as I see that and how active some might be.  And some have been on the list for several years with nary a single post.  Yet, there are some with over 1000 posts.  I guess upwards of 100 would be an indication of "Active" to some degree.  Interesting ... just an observation.

Greenbare Woods

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2016, 02:37:02 PM »
It has been often observed on all Internet forums that there are about 100 lurkers for everyone who posts.  I don't know if that number is accurate.  I don't count my own posts.

Human bodies are natural, comfortable, and green.
To see more of Bob you can view his personal photo page
http://www.photos.bradkemp.com/greenbare.html

eyesup

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2016, 11:20:39 PM »
I don't know about the lurker number. I know I lurked here for a while before I finally posted anything. But this was the 1st forum I ever posted anything on. I guess the more comfortable you are at joining a forum the quicker you stop lurking and speak up.

This is a relatively new forum compared to some!

Duane

nuduke

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2016, 03:31:51 AM »
This was a discussion we had a few times on TSNS - there were about 2000 members of that I recall but essentially it was a private forum between about 50 of us of which about 20 were active.  The flowering of TSNS for about 10 years of which I was lucky enough to be in the company of for about half that, seems to have been a rather special and evanescent phenomenon in which we few, we happy few (to quote the Bard of Avon - and his wife the Avon Lady - joke for the brits there, I think!) now here on FRN are the afterglow of that bright flowering of TSNS.

So many valued friends have fallen by the wayside (e.g. Larry, Alf, Mark, Graham, Pete) - I won't list them all but the ex TSNS members will be able to recall.  And some of those that do remain here post and join in so very rarely now e.g. Dave Balead, johnbare, Paul, Nib & Hymie.  I used to be the most frequent poster for a while on TSNS but even my post rate has declined as has Ian's, JOhnGw's and in fact most of us. 

So where has everyone gone? I also ask, paraphrasing Duane.  I think I have a bit of a theory about this which revolves around two points. 

1) The passing of the age of TSNS discovery
2) The unusual character of the correspondents on this site

Whilst I only appeared in the middle of TSNS's life, it was full of the members' reports of new SN experiences by many members, new thoughts and findings about personal naturism and many of the main dramatis personae had discovered eachother a few years earlier and were still 'cohering' as friends and discovering shared experience and opinion.  (How they ever got together in the fiirst place defeats me but I guess, like other subsequent joiners, they just found it by searching furtively about their naturist proclivity thinking they were 'the only one' in many cases).  Even during the remaining life of TSNS, these attributes of discovery and mutual understanding became more commonplace, less excitingly new and redolent of personal and group discovery and so the conversations diversified into all sorts of other topics.  We had long correspondences about spouse progress, encounters, extreme sn and Larry, Ian's and my trip reports.  But these things have been discussed to a finish by the same people with few or no new entrants to rekindle them with new thoughts and opinions.  Fewer of us seem to go on trips any more (remember Hymies wonderful nature reserve and water treatment plant walks, Daves country rambles, Larry's barn/garage in the country retreats) and whilst those that do, such as Jbee and Duane, Bob and JOhn, that keep up the interesting flow of wonderful naked time in nature, for many of us our SN activities are now the repeated habit of years, such as Dave's cycling and sunny bowers, Ian walking the dog in his local woods, myself and Nib at home, Ricc's gardening, and so have become unremarkable and not really the stuff of exciting reports in different locales that, say Jbee, and JOhn continue to have.  Ian's travelling working life discovering wonderful locales such as the moors and the Angel of the North at dawn and dusk don't happen so much as he is not working far afield any more.  So it is also with Stuart and Karla who don't seem to have the time to get up the Monros so much these days. So the age of SN discovery, except for a very few of us, seems to have waned and with it the contribution of many.

On the second point:  The unique character of the group and the exceptional character of the TSNS discussion was in my experience and has been expressed by others of the ex-TSNS crowd, as just not there in most other forums.  Whilst other forums such as Naturist Corner, BN and others are busy and bustling with members' posts, they just don't seem to have the quality of conversation, the wry humour, the considered opinion and the depth of discussion that TSNS and nowadays FRN had/have.  Other sites just don't, at least for me match up to the incisive philosophy of Alf and Bob, the wayward, wide-ranging knowledge of Jbee, the down to earth nous and advice of Larry, the heady feelings of Mark's outings, the practical presence of JOhn and the narrative warmth of Hymie's journeys and the bright intelligent, knowledgeable, often witty, never acrimonious discussion from all here and on TSNS make our group, arguably uniquely, the best naturist forum there is!  But how this came about is a mystery.  Just what attracted this stellar group into the little galaxy that we have?  Where did these diverse yet like minded people come from - with a narrow but mature age band and a high level of articulateness and intelligence in their writing well above the norm for social media?  This seems to have been a phenomenon of it's time because with a few notable exceptions, very few people have joined up and joined in the conversation that are prepared to write in articulate prose their additions to the worthwhile and sensible thoughts that typify all our contributions here like some e.g's: Ken, Reuben, Safebare and PJcomp, Norman yeldew .  The fact is we are a lonely little site in the great population of the web and, like no doubt many, many other great communities, very hard to find by a relatively small population of people that are SNs/FRNs

And don't get me going on why there are no women.  Even DF, our only constant female companion for quite some years, is just that - posts in her own right are probably enumerated on a single palm of digits!  Yet she is a person of extensive knowledge, opinion and incisive perception - just doesn't use it here.  Other women, Am, Lisa Kayaker, Nib's Cath and the few other female participants (I guess including Karla) have fallen silent from even their infrequent participations.  And another mystery is why no non-naturists have ever even occasionally bothered to join in and argue with us or let themselves be converted to naturists or even sought to insult us!  Why we are such a narrow cross section in such a small niche is also an enduring mystery (to me anyway).

So it seems to be that similar, like minded people aren't finding us any more and for whatever reason, some old friends no longer want to join in.  I don't know why, but there it is.  Suffice it to say, as I do on these occasions, that I shall continue to enjoy the esoteric but magnetic company of this convocation while it lasts and continue to participate and appreciate the contribution of all who do likewise.

Finally, Bob, Jbee, Paul, JOhn and Ian, as some of the longest standing current and frequent posters, whose opinions I have often valued, if you have bothered to read this rather substantial post, I would love to hear whether you agree with any of the foregoing stream of consciousness or want to argue other aspects and invite you to do so.

John

 


John P

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2016, 03:49:52 AM »
As the Bard also said:

"The fewer men, the greater share of honour.
God's will! I pray thee, wish not one man more...
We few, we happy few, we band of brothers..."

nuduke

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2016, 01:26:31 PM »
Gentlemen, I wrote the long post at around 2.30am during a bout of insomnia.  Writing the post cured the insomnia!!! :D
However, this morning a new and puzzling thought occurs:  If you look at the front page of any of the main forum topics e.g. http://freerangenaturism.com/forum/index.php?board=3.0
the Replies/Views column gives an alarming new twist to Duane's question "Where is Everybody?".  There are two hypotheses that I examine below: First - may be that they are looking in only (lurking) or second - may be the activity comes from a smaller number of regular members.

First hypothesis: The number of views seems to hugely outnumber any credible number of views that the total of active participants could be making. Topic: Nudes in the news has 30,000 views.  The 10 or so most viewed posts have 100,000 views!  The most recent 10 posts on the General tab have almost 40,000 views.  That's approaching 300 views per forum member per post (div by 135).  On the face of it, across the forum, it would seem that the 'happy few'- let's estimate 30 regular correspondents - could not possibly be making that number of views (unless someone's an ocd demented madman, viewing every post tens or hundreds of times!).  So we might conclude that Duane's 'Everyone' are actually very numerous and 'out there' looking in on our posts.  The question naturally arises, is this credible? Who are they and why don't they join in?  We do see quite a few joins that never post or post once and are never seen again.  As I write, there are 10 guests and 1 user (me). We regulars are perhaps fishes in a bowl with many, many passers by taking a look, having a laugh at our fishy antics and, indifferent, derisory or otherwise unchanged by the experience, passing on without comment.

Second hypothesis: If, say, just 30 of us are actually reasonably regularly active, and if you go to the members page http://freerangenaturism.com/forum/index.php?action=mlist;sort=posts;desc;start=0
you can see all members and joy of joys, rank us by number of posts. You will find that there are only 35 of us with over 10 posts.  So those tens of thousands of views stats looked at another way suggest that we are relatively alone in cyberspace.  For 30 regular members that's 1300 views each for those first 10 posts/40,000 views.  But let's say that those posts go over 12 months, that's now roughly about 100 views per regular member and 10/member/post/month.  Since there are about 650 replies - about 3 replies per regular member per post and 0.2 replies per regular  per post per month, that way of examining the stats looks quite feasible that the huge number of replies and views may well come mainly or only from us regulars reading all of what comes into the forum. The member rankings show that there are around 4,000 posts in the main 2 forums and 5203 in total for the 30 most regular posters and of those nearly 4000, 75% are from jbee, eyesup, Bob Knows, nudewalker, myself and JOhnGW.  Ian milfmog, my SN hero and once the proud leader of posts in TSNS is not in the 6 most regular posters by a long chalk and has only a mere 190 posts here vs, next up, JOhnGW 6th with 376 and nudewalker 5th with 417. 

So, friends, hypothesis 2 carries more believable stats and a good deal more common sense about it.  So I believe we can conclude that the forum is a small band of about 10 brothers with another 20 or so highly esteemed and highly valued other brothers and 2 sisters (Karla & Kayaker) who it is assumed view more than post.

Stuart & Karla, do you look at the web stats? Google analytics or similar?  Can you shed any light on visitors vs member visits?

Friends, brothers and sisters, the recent convention of jbee, duane & ken was a convention indeed, representing some 40% of our correspondence since the first of us landed on this lovely site in September 2013, some 3 years ago.  The AHG convention of 2008 must have been a similar proportion.  My researches indeed confirm, I feel, the Shakespearean quotation so ably expanded by JohnP.
Yet I would happily share my honour more broadly but until that day, I will hold firm to my friends and those whose tenacity similarly binds us together and gives us strength to know that naked in nature is a goal worth seeking.

John




ric

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2016, 01:47:06 PM »
we all develope as time goes by ,  a few years ago i posted fairly often on tsns , at that time most of my naturism was pretty secret, but as time went on i came out the closet soto speak with some of my gardening clients and got more naked time in their gardens , sometimes in the presence of clothed clients, even their cleaning lady in one case. so i felt id passed on from strictly secret naturism.
allong the same period my wife came to appreciate the health benefits of both air and light on the skin and has also become a naturist, at first in our own garden but not as comfortable in public as me but progressing all the time. were off to fuerteventura on wednesday and will both  spend a lot of time naked on the beach
in the last couple of years life has been a bit busy and hectic  which has pretty much stopped me from wandering off on naked rambles so all i really have to post about is naked gardening , this week pretty much the same as last week etc, been posted about before , basically ive not got much new going on to write about.

i still look in every day to see whats going on ,  the things that have been making life hectic for the past couple of years are drawing to a natural conclusion so hopefully next year will see a return to the occasional naked ramble....and hence more posts.

eyesup

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2016, 06:32:38 PM »
John,

Something I discovered by accident is that if I am viewing the site but haven't logged in and I click on one of the topics, it still counts that as a visit. Many of these thousands of views are most likely by those merely wandering by and glancing over the hedge.

Also I will confess to reading some posts more than once. Something I am writing will remind me of something I've read and I will go hunting for it. Granted, I don't go hunting as frequently as your post relates.

Duane

Peter S

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2016, 07:46:03 PM »
And don't forget the bots that call in quite frequently. I've seen on another site which shows such things that at any one time it might have, say, three members, ten visitors and four search engine bots registered as viewing. Don't know how often the bots might scrape a site, but they could be inflating the viewing figures quite a bit

Peter
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nuduke

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #11 on: October 18, 2016, 12:28:19 AM »
Yes, Pete,

Having been involved with a few website developments over a few years, I became aware of how much 'junk' hits there are on any site.  Makes it difficult to see how a site is in fact used especially if the real site traffic is at a lower volume.  Similarly, Duane, I discounted the possibility of casual hits by real people who hover briefly and fly off as it isn't possible really to track motivation from a site hit.  So wise observations there, gents both.  However, if you assume that any percentage of visits that are bots, accidents, casual visitors and whatnot, and so reduce the number of visits attributable to members, it simply strengthens my point that the real site traffic is mostly attributable to the activity of real, regular members. 

Now, ricc, your post seems almost apologetic.  Dear sir, you make your point effectively.  Nothing to be in any way diffident about.Your activity has evolved over time making the interesting and new post opportunities less frequent.   That's reality for you (and others). And again is an example of how the whole community discussion has evolved and changed over time.  Which was my central point.  That evolution of the individuals and the group as a whole have led to a more adagio pace and perhaps a less extensive bunch of thought trains than once it was.  I'm just commenting on what I find in the numbers and overlaying my own, admittedly rather wistful observations.

Please understand, everyone reading my stuff and trying to make sense of my rough analysis, I'm NOT saying anything's wrong or being critical of anyone.  It's just how it is.  Some people remain tenaciously engaged here and some have drifted off.  Some like a lesser involvement and some have changed their forum participation over time.

I need to explain a bit about how I feel (Grief! He's going to talk about feelings - do men do that?) with two things to understand first:  First, Having met several of the forum's members in person over time, I observe that how you understand people on the forum is in fact pretty close to how they really are in person.  Second, When I joined TSNS, I discovered so much about myself with the help of Larry, Alf, Hymie, Dave and Ian mostly (with a seasoning of Jbee philosophy) and through their experiences and posts and personal advice occasionally, I learned to be comfortable with my naturism and enjoy it. So, my more nostalgic comments bemoaning the loss of some formerly very active members arise from the fact that, for me at least they became genuinely friends and counsellors and I felt pretty sure I did know the people behind the avatars.  Therefore it feels empty and sad when a friend moves off to pastures new and their attention moves onwards to different people. 

So of course, I'd prefer it if some of the old banter from absent friends were still here. But hey! That ain't how it is.  No sweat, happy times past but present good friends are here and chatting and I feel I know you folks that are here in the same way.

Sorry if you think I'm a silly old sod but that's how I feel.  Actually I'm quite optimistic about the future - things go in cycles and we may find that some new friends cycle up and join us old pals.  And this seems to be happening - ReubenT, Safebare, Kensun and others are all quite frequent posters and new joins knowing nought of TSNS.  More fun ahead!

Lastly for this post, 2 more things:

1) Ricc, your description of your evolutionary 'coming out' as the 'naked gardener' is truly admirable. I truly admire what I have read in your posts over time and that you summarised below (that made the penny drop for me!).  You have grasped your opportunity and asserted your right to ask and by that courage and tenacity have gained your freedom to be naked to do your work.  Would that we could all have that fortitude.  You are for me a role model that will help me to assert my rights when opportunity arises.

2) In my last few posts, my contribution of word count has been truly incontinent!  I apologise if I've said too much or bored the pants off some (but you aren't wearing pants!). Equally, I enjoyed the opportunity to set my thoughts down somewhere where there are intelligent and articulate souls amongst whom perhaps there may be one or two that appreciate the contribution.  And I probably will again! :) :)

John


John P

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2016, 12:48:25 AM »
"Pastures new" of course is from Milton. John Milton, and isn't John a fine name? I think we mostly agree on that.

I'm sometimes among the lurkers, because I don't have the computer set to log me in automatically. Sometimes I'll take a look at the boards and see if anything has shown up that I want to reply to, and if not, I just move along.




nuduke

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #13 on: October 18, 2016, 01:00:32 AM »
John,
John is the finest of names and my middle name is Kenneth! Hi Kensunwalker!  Means 'handsome' by the way :)
'Fresh fields and pastures new' is it not?
John

nudewalker

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Re: Where is everybody?
« Reply #14 on: October 18, 2016, 04:42:48 AM »
Until recently I had only a desk computer to automatically log me in while visiting this site plus a few others I have contributed to from time to time. When I am on the go there are times where a quick check in to determine if there is any action. So when there is a quick look there is no recognition as a member. Other forums that are monitored but that I am not a member of seem to have large numbers of guests to which I attribute to searching for nudist instead of naturist.

One thing that Mrs. Walker has commented on is the quality and styles of writing that the members exhibit. Perhaps there is an intimidation factor in place where lurkers or some of our less active members feel inadequate or think that their skills don't quite make it? Or is it those who are out there using us as a learning tool and gradually building the courage to begin their own free range adventure?
"Always do what you are afraid to do"-Emerson